Annecy vs Montpellier: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Annecy the pick at 45% for Annecy vs Montpellier. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Montpellier travel to Annecy on 31 October 2026 at Parc des Sports d’Annecy, Avignon. Annecy are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 11 fixture in Ligue 2 is listed as Annecy - Montpellier. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Annecy: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 21 conceded in 16 matches, 1.62 and 1.31 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.5 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +2.
Montpellier: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 17 conceded in 17 matches, 1.47 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 70.1 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Annecy | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWWL | WWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 6 | 9 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.62 / 1.31 | 1.47 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.69 | 1.53 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.5 | 70.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 26% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Annecy 45.5 versus Montpellier 70.1, a gap of 24.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Annecy's way at 53%.
The call
The model edges towards Annecy at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Annecy's way, especially at Parc des Sports d’Annecy.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Annecy or Montpellier?
Annecy, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Annecy, 29% the draw and 26% Montpellier.
When and where is Annecy vs Montpellier being played?
31 October 2026 at Parc des Sports d’Annecy, Avignon, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Annecy and Montpellier?
Annecy 0-0 Montpellier on 10 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Annecy and Montpellier?
Annecy have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWWL), Montpellier 13 from theirs (WWWDW). Most recently Annecy took a 3-1 win away at Sochaux and Montpellier a 2-1 win at home to RED Star FC 93.
How many goals are expected in Annecy vs Montpellier?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.60 for Annecy and 1.20 for Montpellier. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.