Grenoble vs Dijon match summary and prediction — Ligue 2
Our model makes Grenoble the pick at 42% for Grenoble vs Dijon. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Dijon travel to Grenoble on 30 October 2026 at Stade des Alpes, Grenoble. Grenoble are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 11 fixture in Ligue 2 is listed as Grenoble - Dijon. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Grenoble: they come in on three defeats in a row, following two draws before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored two and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.3 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -8.
Dijon: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded eleven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Grenoble | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -8 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDD | LLWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 7 | 11 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.3 | 54.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Grenoble 36.3 versus Dijon 54.8, a gap of 18.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Grenoble's way at 54%.
The call
The model edges towards Grenoble at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Grenoble's way, especially at Stade des Alpes.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Grenoble or Dijon?
Grenoble, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Grenoble, 30% the draw and 28% Dijon.
When and where is Grenoble vs Dijon being played?
30 October 2026 at Stade des Alpes, Grenoble, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Grenoble and Dijon met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Grenoble and Dijon?
Grenoble have taken 2 points from their last five (LLLDD), Dijon 7 from theirs (LLWDW). Most recently Grenoble took a 1-2 defeat away at PAU and Dijon a 1-2 defeat at home to Rodez.
How many goals are expected in Grenoble vs Dijon?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.20 for Grenoble and 1.50 for Dijon. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.