Guingamp vs Saint Etienne: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Guingamp and Saint Etienne on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Saint Etienne travel to Guingamp on 31 October 2026 at Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp. Guingamp are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 11 fixture in Ligue 2 is listed as Guingamp - Saint Etienne. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Guingamp: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 20 conceded in 17 matches, 0.82 and 1.18 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.5 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -2.
Saint Etienne: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 19 conceded in 20 matches, 1.25 and 0.95 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.1 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +15.
Side by side
| Statistic | Guingamp | Saint Etienne |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -2 | +15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLWL | WWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 7 | 11 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.82 / 1.18 | 1.25 / 0.95 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.82 | 1.45 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.5 | 62.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 34% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Guingamp 44.5 versus Saint Etienne 62.1, a gap of 17.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Guingamp's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Guingamp is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Guingamp's way, especially at Stade de Roudourou.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Guingamp or Saint Etienne?
Guingamp, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Guingamp, 27% the draw and 34% Saint Etienne.
When and where is Guingamp vs Saint Etienne being played?
31 October 2026 at Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Guingamp and Saint Etienne?
Guingamp 1-2 Saint Etienne on 14 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Guingamp and Saint Etienne?
Guingamp have taken 6 points from their last five (WLLWL), Saint Etienne 13 from theirs (WWWWD). Most recently Guingamp took a 2-0 win away at Clermont Foot and Saint Etienne a 1-0 win at home to Nantes.
How many goals are expected in Guingamp vs Saint Etienne?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.40 for Guingamp and 1.80 for Saint Etienne. It rates over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.