Laval vs Boulogne match summary and prediction — Ligue 2
Our model makes Laval the pick at 45% for Laval vs Boulogne. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Laval host Boulogne on 30 October 2026 at Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval. Laval are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 11 fixture in Ligue 2 is listed as Laval - Boulogne. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Laval: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 27 conceded in 21 matches, 1.05 and 1.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 29.7 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -8.
Boulogne: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 23 conceded in 16 matches, 0.94 and 1.44 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.0 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Laval | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -8 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLWD | WDLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 8 | 5 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 21 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.05 / 1.29 | 0.94 / 1.44 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 29.7 | 45.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Laval 29.7 versus Boulogne 45.0, a gap of 15.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Laval's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Laval at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Boulogne's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Laval's way, especially at Stade Francis Le Basser.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Laval or Boulogne?
Laval, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Laval, 26% the draw and 28% Boulogne.
When and where is Laval vs Boulogne being played?
30 October 2026 at Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Laval and Boulogne?
Laval 2-1 Boulogne on 09 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Laval and Boulogne?
Laval have taken 5 points from their last five (LDLWD), Boulogne 5 from theirs (WDLLD). Most recently Laval took a 0-1 defeat away at Nancy and Boulogne a 2-0 win away at Grenoble.
How many goals are expected in Laval vs Boulogne?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 1.00 for Laval and 0.60 for Boulogne. It rates over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.