Nantes vs Clermont Foot — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Nantes and Clermont Foot on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Clermont Foot travel to Nantes on 30 October 2026 at Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes. Nantes are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This matchday 11 fixture in Ligue 2 is listed as Nantes - Clermont Foot. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Nantes: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 48 conceded in 29 matches, 1.0 and 1.66 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.8 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -6.
Clermont Foot: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 22 conceded in 16 matches, 1.38 and 1.38 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.8 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -5.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Nantes | Clermont Foot |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 17th |
| Goal difference | -6 | -5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDWL | LDLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 6 | 9 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 29 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.0 / 1.66 | 1.38 / 1.38 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.72 | 1.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.8 | 33.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 28% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 4) | 1 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 4): Nantes one win, Clermont Foot one win, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Nantes 1-2 Clermont Foot on 14 January 2024.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in two of the four — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Nantes 36.8 versus Clermont Foot 33.8, a gap of 3.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.00, over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Nantes' way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Nantes is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate. Baseline expectation tilts Nantes's way, especially at Stade de la Beaujoire.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Nantes or Clermont Foot?
Nantes, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 37% Nantes, 34% the draw and 28% Clermont Foot.
When and where is Nantes vs Clermont Foot being played?
30 October 2026 at Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Nantes and Clermont Foot?
Nantes 1-2 Clermont Foot on 14 January 2024.
What is the recent form of Nantes and Clermont Foot?
Nantes have taken 4 points from their last five (LLDWL), Clermont Foot 2 from theirs (LDLLD). Most recently Nantes took a 0-1 defeat away at Saint Etienne and Clermont Foot a 0-2 defeat at home to Guingamp.
How many goals are expected in Nantes vs Clermont Foot?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.00 — 0.60 for Nantes and 0.40 for Clermont Foot. It rates over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.