Dunkerque vs Guingamp: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Dunkerque the pick at 43% for Dunkerque vs Guingamp. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Dunkerque host Guingamp on 6 November 2026 at Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque. Dunkerque are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 12 fixture in Ligue 2 is listed as Dunkerque - Guingamp. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Dunkerque: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 27 conceded in 17 matches, 1.29 and 1.59 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.6 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -3.
Guingamp: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 20 conceded in 17 matches, 0.82 and 1.18 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.2 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Dunkerque | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWLL | WWLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 9 | 8 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.29 / 1.59 | 0.82 / 1.18 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.76 | 0.82 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.6 | 45.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Dunkerque 37.6 versus Guingamp 45.2, a gap of 7.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Dunkerque's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Dunkerque at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Guingamp's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Dunkerque's way, especially at Stade Marcel Tribut.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Dunkerque or Guingamp?
Dunkerque, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Dunkerque, 29% the draw and 28% Guingamp.
When and where is Dunkerque vs Guingamp being played?
6 November 2026 at Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Dunkerque and Guingamp?
Dunkerque 0-0 Guingamp on 06 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Dunkerque and Guingamp?
Dunkerque have taken 4 points from their last five (LDWLL), Guingamp 9 from theirs (WWLLW). Most recently Dunkerque took a 0-1 defeat away at Rodez and Guingamp a 3-0 win at home to Saint Etienne.
How many goals are expected in Dunkerque vs Guingamp?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.40 for Dunkerque and 2.00 for Guingamp. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.