Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Stade Brestois 29 the pick at 60% for Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Stade Brestois 29 face Nice on 23 October 2026 at Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest. Stade Brestois 29 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 8 fixture in Ligue 1 is listed as Stade Brestois 29 - Nice. Kick-off is 18:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Stade Brestois 29: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (38 scored and 53 conceded in 31 matches, 1.23 and 1.71 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +3.
Nice: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (51 scored and 65 conceded in 43 matches, 1.19 and 1.51 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.6 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Stade Brestois 29 | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 13th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDLL | LWWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 7 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 31 | 43 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.23 / 1.71 | 1.19 / 1.51 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.0 | 1.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.1 | 47.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 8% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 8) | 2 | 3 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 8): Stade Brestois 29 two wins, Nice three wins, three draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Nice 2-2 Stade Brestois 29 on 01 February 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.25 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in two of the eight — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Stade Brestois 29 49.1 versus Nice 47.6, a gap of 1.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 29% and both teams to score at 35%.
- First goal: Leans Stade Brestois 29's way at 71%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Stade Brestois 29 at 60%, a gap of 28 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate. Baseline expectation tilts Stade Brestois 29's way, especially at Stade Francis-Le-Blé.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Stade Brestois 29 or Nice?
Stade Brestois 29, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Stade Brestois 29, 32% the draw and 8% Nice.
When and where is Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice being played?
23 October 2026 at Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest, kick-off 18:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Stade Brestois 29 and Nice?
Nice 2-2 Stade Brestois 29 on 01 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Stade Brestois 29 and Nice?
Stade Brestois 29 have taken 5 points from their last five (DWDLL), Nice 7 from theirs (LWWLD). Most recently Stade Brestois 29 took a 1-1 draw away at Lille and Nice a 1-2 defeat away at Lyon.
How many goals are expected in Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.40 for Stade Brestois 29 and 1.00 for Nice. It rates over 2.5 goals at 29%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 35%, so its call is no.