Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain match summary and prediction — Ligue 1

Our model makes Paris Saint Germain the pick at 79% for Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.

The fixture at a glance

Le Havre host Paris Saint Germain on 30 October 2026 at Stade Océane, Le Havre. Paris Saint Germain are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 79%. This matchday 9 fixture in Ligue 1 is listed as Le Havre - Paris Saint Germain. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.

Recent form and trajectory

Le Havre: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 40 conceded in 30 matches, 0.9 and 1.33 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.6 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -7.

Paris Saint Germain: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (136 scored and 62 conceded in 57 matches, 2.39 and 1.09 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 66.2 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +5.

Side by side

What stands out

• Head-to-head balance (last 6): Le Havre none wins, Paris Saint Germain five wins, one draw — an edge to Paris Saint Germain.
• Most recent meeting: Le Havre 0-1 Paris Saint Germain on 28 February 2026.
• Head-to-head goals: 3.33 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in three of the six — a fixture that has tended to open up.
• Pre-match form ratings: Le Havre 26.6 versus Paris Saint Germain 66.2, a gap of 39.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
• Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
• Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
• Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 57%.
• First goal: Leans Paris Saint Germain's way at 76%.

Sentiment and prediction

The model leans firmly towards Paris Saint Germain at 79%, a gap of 65 percentage points to the next outcome. Paris Saint Germain's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.

Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favoured to win the match: Le Havre or Paris Saint Germain?

Paris Saint Germain, with an implied win probability of roughly 79%. The full split is 7% Le Havre, 14% the draw and 79% Paris Saint Germain.

When and where is Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain being played?

30 October 2026 at Stade Océane, Le Havre, kick-off 18:00 UTC.

What was the result of the last match between Le Havre and Paris Saint Germain?

Le Havre 0-1 Paris Saint Germain on 28 February 2026.

What is the recent form of Le Havre and Paris Saint Germain?

Le Havre have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLWL), Paris Saint Germain 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Le Havre took a 3-4 defeat away at Marseille and Paris Saint Germain a 4-2 win at home to Barcelona.

How many goals are expected in Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?

The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.40 for Le Havre and 2.20 for Paris Saint Germain. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.

Will both teams score?

The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.