Lyon vs Angers match summary and prediction — Ligue 1
Our model makes Lyon the pick at 64% for Lyon vs Angers. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Angers travel to Lyon on 1 November 2026 at Groupama Stadium, Lyon. Lyon are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 64%. This matchday 9 fixture in Ligue 1 is listed as Lyon - Angers. Kick-off is 16:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Lyon: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (60 scored and 43 conceded in 40 matches, 1.5 and 1.07 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.8 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +6.
Angers: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 37 conceded in 31 matches, 0.84 and 1.19 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.2 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Lyon | Angers |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 14th |
| Goal difference | +6 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWL | DLLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 10 | 5 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 40 | 31 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.5 / 1.07 | 0.84 / 1.19 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.85 | 1.23 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.8 | 40.2 |
| Players unavailable | 10 | 2 |
| Model win probability | 64% | 13% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 6) | 5 | 0 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 6): Lyon five wins, Angers none wins, one draw — an edge to Lyon.
- Most recent meeting: Angers 0-0 Lyon on 05 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the six — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Lyon 49.8 versus Angers 40.2, a gap of 9.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: Lyon carry the heavier absentee list, ten players to two.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Lyon's way at 65%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Lyon at 64%, a gap of 41 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Lyon's way, especially at Groupama Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Lyon or Angers?
Lyon, with an implied win probability of roughly 64%. The full split is 64% Lyon, 23% the draw and 13% Angers.
When and where is Lyon vs Angers being played?
1 November 2026 at Groupama Stadium, Lyon, kick-off 16:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Lyon and Angers?
Angers 0-0 Lyon on 05 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Lyon and Angers?
Lyon have taken 6 points from their last five (LLWWL), Angers 5 from theirs (DLLWD). Most recently Lyon took a 0-2 defeat away at Paris Saint Germain and Angers a 0-0 draw at home to Lorient.
How many goals are expected in Lyon vs Angers?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 1.00 for Lyon and 0.80 for Angers. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists ten players unavailable for Lyon and two for Angers at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.