Strasbourg vs Auxerre match summary and prediction — Ligue 1
Our model makes Strasbourg the pick at 55% for Strasbourg vs Auxerre. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Strasbourg face Auxerre on 1 November 2026 at Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg. Strasbourg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 9 fixture in Ligue 1 is listed as Strasbourg - Auxerre. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Strasbourg: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (75 scored and 55 conceded in 43 matches, 1.74 and 1.28 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.8 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -6.
Auxerre: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 36 conceded in 29 matches, 1.0 and 1.24 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.8 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Strasbourg | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 12th |
| Goal difference | -6 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLD | DWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 11 | 11 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 43 | 29 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.74 / 1.28 | 1.0 / 1.24 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 26.8 | 56.8 |
| Players unavailable | 6 | 8 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 22% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 6) | 4 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 6): Strasbourg four wins, Auxerre one win, one draw — an edge to Strasbourg.
- Most recent meeting: Auxerre 0-0 Strasbourg on 07 March 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.83 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the six — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Strasbourg 26.8 versus Auxerre 56.8, a gap of 30.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.40, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Strasbourg's way at 62%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Strasbourg at 55%, a gap of 32 percentage points to the next outcome. Auxerre's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Strasbourg's way, especially at Stade de la Meinau.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Strasbourg or Auxerre?
Strasbourg, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% Strasbourg, 23% the draw and 22% Auxerre.
When and where is Strasbourg vs Auxerre being played?
1 November 2026 at Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Strasbourg and Auxerre?
Auxerre 0-0 Strasbourg on 07 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Strasbourg and Auxerre?
Strasbourg have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLLD), Auxerre 10 from theirs (DWLWW). Most recently Strasbourg took a 0-3 defeat away at Rennes and Auxerre a 1-1 draw at home to Le Mans.
How many goals are expected in Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.40 — 2.80 for Strasbourg and 1.60 for Auxerre. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists six players unavailable for Strasbourg and eight for Auxerre at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.