Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Stade Brestois 29 and Lyon on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Stade Brestois 29 face Lyon on 8 November 2026 at Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest. Lyon are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This matchday 10 fixture in Ligue 1 is listed as Stade Brestois 29 - Lyon. Kick-off is 16:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Stade Brestois 29: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (38 scored and 53 conceded in 31 matches, 1.23 and 1.71 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +4.
Lyon: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (60 scored and 43 conceded in 40 matches, 1.5 and 1.07 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.0 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +8.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Stade Brestois 29 | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +4 | +8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDWD | WLLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 6 | 7 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 31 | 40 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.23 / 1.71 | 1.5 / 1.07 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.0 | 1.85 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.3 | 57.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 37% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 7) | 2 | 3 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 7): Stade Brestois 29 two wins, Lyon three wins, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Stade Brestois 29 0-0 Lyon on 02 November 2025.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.86 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in four of the seven — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Stade Brestois 29 49.3 versus Lyon 57.0, a gap of 7.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Lyon's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Lyon is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Stade Brestois 29 or Lyon?
Lyon, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 35% Stade Brestois 29, 27% the draw and 37% Lyon.
When and where is Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon being played?
8 November 2026 at Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest, kick-off 16:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Stade Brestois 29 and Lyon?
Stade Brestois 29 0-0 Lyon on 02 November 2025.
What is the recent form of Stade Brestois 29 and Lyon?
Stade Brestois 29 have taken 8 points from their last five (WLDWD), Lyon 9 from theirs (WLLWW). Most recently Stade Brestois 29 took a 2-0 win away at Lorient and Lyon a 2-0 win at home to Angers.
How many goals are expected in Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.20 for Stade Brestois 29 and 0.80 for Lyon. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.