Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 48% for Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Zaglebie Lubin travel to Raków Częstochowa on 15 September 2026 at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 48%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 3 fixture in Ekstraklasa is listed as Raków Częstochowa - Zaglebie Lubin. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Raków Częstochowa: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 17 conceded in 17 matches, 1.35 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.0 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -8.
Zaglebie Lubin: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 14 conceded in 16 matches, 0.88 and 0.88 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.2 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Raków Częstochowa | Zaglebie Lubin |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -8 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLD | DLDDW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 13 | 5 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.35 / 1.0 | 0.88 / 0.88 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.53 | 1.25 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 23.0 | 45.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 18% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 1) | 0 | 0 |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Raków Częstochowa 23.0 versus Zaglebie Lubin 45.2, a gap of 22.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.27, over 2.5 goals at 12% and both teams to score at 38%.
- First goal: Leans Raków Częstochowa's way at 61%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to a draw at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Raków Częstochowa or Zaglebie Lubin?
Neither side. Our model splits it 34% Raków Częstochowa, 48% the draw and 18% Zaglebie Lubin, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin being played?
15 September 2026 at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Raków Częstochowa and Zaglebie Lubin?
Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 Raków Częstochowa on 14 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Raków Częstochowa and Zaglebie Lubin?
Raków Częstochowa have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLLD), Zaglebie Lubin 6 from theirs (DLDDW). Most recently Raków Częstochowa took a 0-1 defeat away at Lech Poznan and Zaglebie Lubin a 1-1 draw away at Wieczysta Kraków.
How many goals are expected in Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.27 — 0.60 for Raków Częstochowa and 0.67 for Zaglebie Lubin. It rates over 2.5 goals at 12%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 38%, so its call is no.