Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Piast Gliwice the pick at 46% for Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Piast Gliwice host Cracovia Krakow on 24 October 2026 at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice. Piast Gliwice are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 12 fixture in Ekstraklasa is listed as Piast Gliwice - Cracovia Krakow. Kick-off is 10:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Piast Gliwice: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 24 conceded in 16 matches, 1.44 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.8 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +2.
Cracovia Krakow: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 21 conceded in 16 matches, 0.88 and 1.31 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.6 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Piast Gliwice | Cracovia Krakow |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 11th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLLW | DWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 8 | 9 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.44 / 1.5 | 0.88 / 1.31 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.31 | 0.94 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.8 | 37.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Piast Gliwice 58.8 versus Cracovia Krakow 37.6, a gap of 21.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Piast Gliwice's way at 52%.
The call
The model tilts to Piast Gliwice at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Piast Gliwice's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Piast Gliwice's way, especially at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Piast Gliwice or Cracovia Krakow?
Piast Gliwice, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Piast Gliwice, 25% the draw and 29% Cracovia Krakow.
When and where is Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow being played?
24 October 2026 at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice, kick-off 10:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Piast Gliwice and Cracovia Krakow?
Cracovia Krakow 2-3 Piast Gliwice on 27 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Piast Gliwice and Cracovia Krakow?
Piast Gliwice have taken 7 points from their last five (DWLLW), Cracovia Krakow 4 from theirs (DWLLL). Most recently Piast Gliwice took a 1-1 draw away at Gornik Zabrze and Cracovia Krakow a 1-1 draw at home to Legia Warszawa.
How many goals are expected in Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 2.00 for Piast Gliwice and 0.40 for Cracovia Krakow. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.