Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Pogon Szczecin the pick at 55% for Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Pogon Szczecin face Radomiak Radom on 24 October 2026 at Florian-Krygier-Stadion, Szczecin. Pogon Szczecin are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 12 fixture in Ekstraklasa is listed as Pogon Szczecin - Radomiak Radom. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Pogon Szczecin: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 17 conceded in 15 matches, 1.2 and 1.13 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 70.6 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +9.
Radomiak Radom: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and three defeats from the last four, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 21 conceded in 15 matches, 1.0 and 1.4 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.6 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -15.
Side by side
| Statistic | Pogon Szczecin | Radomiak Radom |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 16th |
| Goal difference | +9 | -15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDWW | LLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 2 | 10 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 15 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.2 / 1.13 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.4 | 1.13 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 70.6 | 24.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 18% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Pogon Szczecin 70.6 versus Radomiak Radom 24.6, a gap of 46.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Pogon Szczecin's way at 60%.
The call
The model tilts to Pogon Szczecin at 55%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Pogon Szczecin's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Pogon Szczecin's way, especially at Florian-Krygier-Stadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Pogon Szczecin or Radomiak Radom?
Pogon Szczecin, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% Pogon Szczecin, 27% the draw and 18% Radomiak Radom.
When and where is Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom being played?
24 October 2026 at Florian-Krygier-Stadion, Szczecin, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
Have Pogon Szczecin and Radomiak Radom met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Pogon Szczecin and Radomiak Radom?
Pogon Szczecin have taken 13 points from their last five (WWDWW), Radomiak Radom 3 from theirs (LLWL). Most recently Pogon Szczecin took a 1-0 win away at GKS Katowice and Radomiak Radom a 0-1 defeat away at Wisla Plock.
How many goals are expected in Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.80 for Pogon Szczecin and 0.80 for Radomiak Radom. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.