Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa match summary and prediction — Ekstraklasa
Our model makes Wisla Krakow the pick at 45% for Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Wisla Krakow face Raków Częstochowa on 24 October 2026 at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Krakow. Wisla Krakow are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 12 fixture in Ekstraklasa is listed as Wisla Krakow - Raków Częstochowa. Kick-off is 18:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Wisla Krakow: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.4 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +3.
Raków Częstochowa: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded twelve, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.2 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -11.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Wisla Krakow | Raków Częstochowa |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 18th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWWW | WLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 6 | 11 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.4 | 42.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Wisla Krakow 52.4 versus Raków Częstochowa 42.2, a gap of 10.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Wisla Krakow's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Wisla Krakow at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Wisla Krakow's way, especially at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Wisla Krakow or Raków Częstochowa?
Wisla Krakow, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Wisla Krakow, 26% the draw and 29% Raków Częstochowa.
When and where is Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa being played?
24 October 2026 at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Krakow, kick-off 18:15 UTC.
Have Wisla Krakow and Raków Częstochowa met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Wisla Krakow and Raków Częstochowa?
Wisla Krakow have taken 10 points from their last five (DLWWW), Raków Częstochowa 6 from theirs (WLWLL). Most recently Wisla Krakow took a 0-0 draw away at Widzew Łódź and Raków Częstochowa a 2-1 win away at Wieczysta Kraków.
How many goals are expected in Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 2.00 for Wisla Krakow and 1.00 for Raków Częstochowa. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.