Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Jagiellonia the pick at 43% for Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Jagiellonia travel to Wieczysta Kraków on 31 October 2026 at Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana. Jagiellonia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 13 fixture in Ekstraklasa is listed as Wieczysta Kraków - Jagiellonia. Kick-off is 13:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Wieczysta Kraków: they come in on three defeats in a row, following two wins before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored nine and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.6 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -7.
Jagiellonia: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.2 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Wieczysta Kraków | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -7 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLWW | WWLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 9 | 10 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.6 | 34.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 43% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Wieczysta Kraków 36.6 versus Jagiellonia 34.2, a gap of 2.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.10, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Jagiellonia's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Jagiellonia at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Jagiellonia's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Wieczysta Kraków or Jagiellonia?
Jagiellonia, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 34% Wieczysta Kraków, 23% the draw and 43% Jagiellonia.
When and where is Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia being played?
31 October 2026 at Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, kick-off 13:45 UTC.
Have Wieczysta Kraków and Jagiellonia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Wieczysta Kraków and Jagiellonia?
Wieczysta Kraków have taken 6 points from their last five (LLLWW), Jagiellonia 9 from theirs (WWLLW). Most recently Wieczysta Kraków took a 0-2 defeat away at Slask Wroclaw and Jagiellonia a 6-0 win away at Lechia Gdansk.
How many goals are expected in Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.10 — 0.50 for Wieczysta Kraków and 0.60 for Jagiellonia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.