Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Zaglebie Lubin the pick at 42% for Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Zaglebie Lubin host Korona Kielce on 2 November 2026 at Stadion Zagłębia Lubin, Lubin. Zaglebie Lubin are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 13 fixture in Ekstraklasa is listed as Zaglebie Lubin - Korona Kielce. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Zaglebie Lubin: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 9 conceded in seven matches, 1.71 and 1.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.3 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of 0.
Korona Kielce: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (6 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 1.0 and 1.83 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.0 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Zaglebie Lubin | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 9th |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLWL | LWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 7 | 4 / 15 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.71 / 1.29 | 1.0 / 1.83 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.0 | 1.33 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.3 | 44.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 27% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Zaglebie Lubin 48.3 versus Korona Kielce 44.0, a gap of 4.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Zaglebie Lubin's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Zaglebie Lubin at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Zaglebie Lubin's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Zaglebie Lubin's way, especially at Stadion Zagłębia Lubin.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Zaglebie Lubin or Korona Kielce?
Zaglebie Lubin, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Zaglebie Lubin, 31% the draw and 27% Korona Kielce.
When and where is Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce being played?
2 November 2026 at Stadion Zagłębia Lubin, Lubin, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Zaglebie Lubin and Korona Kielce?
Korona Kielce 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin on 06 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Zaglebie Lubin and Korona Kielce?
Zaglebie Lubin have taken 7 points from their last five (DWLWL), Korona Kielce 3 from theirs (LWLLL). Most recently Zaglebie Lubin took a 2-2 draw away at Motor Lublin and Korona Kielce a 1-2 defeat away at Polonia Warszawa.
How many goals are expected in Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.80 for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.00 for Korona Kielce. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.