Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Gornik Zabrze the pick at 70% for Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Gornik Zabrze host Wieczysta Kraków on 7 November 2026 at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze. Gornik Zabrze are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 70%. This matchday 14 fixture in Ekstraklasa is listed as Gornik Zabrze - Wieczysta Kraków. Kick-off is 16:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Gornik Zabrze: they come in on four successive draws, following one win before that. That is one win, four draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored five and conceded three, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +10.
Wieczysta Kraków: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored six and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.8 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Gornik Zabrze | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 18th |
| Goal difference | +10 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDDDW | LLLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 3 | 6 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 50.8 | 32.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 70% | 11% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Gornik Zabrze 50.8 versus Wieczysta Kraków 32.8, a gap of 18.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 16 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Gornik Zabrze's way at 75%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Gornik Zabrze at 70%, a gap of 51 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Gornik Zabrze's way, especially at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Gornik Zabrze or Wieczysta Kraków?
Gornik Zabrze, with an implied win probability of roughly 70%. The full split is 70% Gornik Zabrze, 19% the draw and 11% Wieczysta Kraków.
When and where is Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków being played?
7 November 2026 at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
Have Gornik Zabrze and Wieczysta Kraków met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Gornik Zabrze and Wieczysta Kraków?
Gornik Zabrze have taken 7 points from their last five (DDDDW), Wieczysta Kraków 3 from theirs (LLLLW). Most recently Gornik Zabrze took a 0-0 draw at home to Legia Warszawa and Wieczysta Kraków a 1-3 defeat at home to Jagiellonia.
How many goals are expected in Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 1.20 for Gornik Zabrze and 0.60 for Wieczysta Kraków. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.