Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Korona Kielce the pick at 47% for Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Korona Kielce face Radomiak Radom on 7 November 2026 at Exbud Arena, Kielce. Korona Kielce are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 14 fixture in Ekstraklasa is listed as Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom. Kick-off is 11:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Korona Kielce: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (6 scored and 12 conceded in seven matches, 0.86 and 1.71 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.8 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -5.
Radomiak Radom: they come in on the back of a win, following four defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 13 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 2.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.5 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -14.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Korona Kielce | Radomiak Radom |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 15th |
| Goal difference | -5 | -14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWLL | WLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 11 | 9 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.86 / 1.71 | 1.33 / 2.17 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 43.8 | 31.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 27% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Korona Kielce 43.8 versus Radomiak Radom 31.5, a gap of 12.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Korona Kielce's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Korona Kielce at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Korona Kielce's way, especially at Exbud Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Korona Kielce or Radomiak Radom?
Korona Kielce, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Korona Kielce, 25% the draw and 27% Radomiak Radom.
When and where is Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom being played?
7 November 2026 at Exbud Arena, Kielce, kick-off 11:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Korona Kielce and Radomiak Radom?
Radomiak Radom 0-2 Korona Kielce on 13 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Korona Kielce and Radomiak Radom?
Korona Kielce have taken 3 points from their last five (LLWLL), Radomiak Radom 3 from theirs (WLLLL). Most recently Korona Kielce took a 0-1 defeat away at Zaglebie Lubin and Radomiak Radom a 3-1 win at home to Slask Wroclaw.
How many goals are expected in Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 0.80 for Korona Kielce and 1.40 for Radomiak Radom. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.