Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Motor Lublin the pick at 52% for Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Wisla Plock travel to Motor Lublin on 6 November 2026 at Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin. Motor Lublin are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 14 fixture in Ekstraklasa is listed as Motor Lublin - Wisla Plock. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Motor Lublin: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 15 conceded in seven matches, 1.57 and 2.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.9 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -3.
Wisla Plock: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 8 conceded in seven matches, 1.29 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.8 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Motor Lublin | Wisla Plock |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 12th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDWW | DWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 8 | 5 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.57 / 2.14 | 1.29 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.71 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 60.9 | 46.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 24% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Motor Lublin 60.9 versus Wisla Plock 46.8, a gap of 14.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Motor Lublin's way at 61%.
The call
The model tilts to Motor Lublin at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Motor Lublin's way, especially at Motor Lublin Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Motor Lublin or Wisla Plock?
Motor Lublin, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Motor Lublin, 24% the draw and 24% Wisla Plock.
When and where is Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock being played?
6 November 2026 at Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Motor Lublin and Wisla Plock?
Wisla Plock 0-4 Motor Lublin on 10 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Motor Lublin and Wisla Plock?
Motor Lublin have taken 11 points from their last five (WDDWW), Wisla Plock 7 from theirs (DWLWL). Most recently Motor Lublin took a 2-1 win away at Cracovia Krakow and Wisla Plock a 2-2 draw at home to Piast Gliwice.
How many goals are expected in Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.60 for Motor Lublin and 1.40 for Wisla Plock. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.