Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Slask Wroclaw the pick at 40% for Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Slask Wroclaw host Piast Gliwice on 7 November 2026 at Tarczynski Arena. Slask Wroclaw are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 14 fixture in Ekstraklasa is listed as Slask Wroclaw - Piast Gliwice. Kick-off is 13:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Slask Wroclaw: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 8 conceded in six matches, 1.17 and 1.33 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.0 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -8.
Piast Gliwice: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 12 conceded in eight matches, 1.88 and 1.5 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.7 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Slask Wroclaw | Piast Gliwice |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -8 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWLL | DDWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 12 | 8 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.17 / 1.33 | 1.88 / 1.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.17 | 1.75 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 33.0 | 52.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 35% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Slask Wroclaw 33.0 versus Piast Gliwice 52.7, a gap of 19.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Slask Wroclaw's way at 53%.
The call
The model edges towards Slask Wroclaw at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Piast Gliwice's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Slask Wroclaw's way, especially at Tarczynski Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Slask Wroclaw or Piast Gliwice?
Slask Wroclaw, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% Slask Wroclaw, 24% the draw and 35% Piast Gliwice.
When and where is Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice being played?
7 November 2026 at Tarczynski Arena, kick-off 13:45 UTC.
Have Slask Wroclaw and Piast Gliwice met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Slask Wroclaw and Piast Gliwice?
Slask Wroclaw have taken 3 points from their last five (LLWLL), Piast Gliwice 9 from theirs (DDWDW). Most recently Slask Wroclaw took a 1-3 defeat away at Radomiak Radom and Piast Gliwice a 2-2 draw away at Wisla Plock.
How many goals are expected in Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.00 for Slask Wroclaw and 2.20 for Piast Gliwice. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.