Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Widzew Łódź the pick at 47% for Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Widzew Łódź host Pogon Szczecin on 7 November 2026. Widzew Łódź are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 14 fixture in Ekstraklasa is listed as Widzew Łódź - Pogon Szczecin. Kick-off is 19:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Widzew Łódź: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 7 conceded in seven matches, 1.14 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.5 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -2.
Pogon Szczecin: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 8 conceded in six matches, 2.17 and 1.33 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.0 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Widzew Łódź | Pogon Szczecin |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -2 | +8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDLD | LWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 9 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.14 / 1.0 | 2.17 / 1.33 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.14 | 2.17 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.5 | 67.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 29% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Widzew Łódź 34.5 versus Pogon Szczecin 67.0, a gap of 32.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Widzew Łódź's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Widzew Łódź at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Pogon Szczecin's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Widzew Łódź or Pogon Szczecin?
Widzew Łódź, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Widzew Łódź, 25% the draw and 29% Pogon Szczecin.
When and where is Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin being played?
7 November 2026, kick-off 19:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Widzew Łódź and Pogon Szczecin?
Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Widzew Łódź on 28 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Widzew Łódź and Pogon Szczecin?
Widzew Łódź have taken 3 points from their last five (LDDLD), Pogon Szczecin 10 from theirs (LWWWD). Most recently Widzew Łódź took a 2-3 defeat away at GKS Katowice and Pogon Szczecin a 1-3 defeat away at Raków Częstochowa.
How many goals are expected in Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.20 for Widzew Łódź and 2.20 for Pogon Szczecin. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.