IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes IMT Novi Beograd the pick at 60% for IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
IMT Novi Beograd face FK Crvena Zvezda on 13 September 2026. IMT Novi Beograd are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 9 fixture in Super Liga is listed as IMT Novi Beograd - FK Crvena Zvezda. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
IMT Novi Beograd: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 11 conceded in 16 matches, 1.12 and 0.69 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +6.
FK Crvena Zvezda: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (46 scored and 25 conceded in 26 matches, 1.77 and 0.96 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 72.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +16.
Side by side
| Statistic | IMT Novi Beograd | FK Crvena Zvezda |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 1st |
| Goal difference | +6 | +16 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLDL | DWWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 4 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 26 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.12 / 0.69 | 1.77 / 0.96 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 43.2 | 72.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 7% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: IMT Novi Beograd 43.2 versus FK Crvena Zvezda 72.3, a gap of 29.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 17% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans IMT Novi Beograd's way at 70%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards IMT Novi Beograd at 60%, a gap of 27 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: IMT Novi Beograd or FK Crvena Zvezda?
IMT Novi Beograd, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% IMT Novi Beograd, 33% the draw and 7% FK Crvena Zvezda.
When and where is IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda being played?
13 September 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between IMT Novi Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda?
IMT Novi Beograd 1-2 FK Crvena Zvezda on 15 March 2026.
What is the recent form of IMT Novi Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda?
IMT Novi Beograd have taken 5 points from their last five (DWLDL), FK Crvena Zvezda 10 from theirs (DWWLW). Most recently IMT Novi Beograd took a 1-1 draw away at OFK Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda a 0-0 draw away at Radnik Surdulica.
How many goals are expected in IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.00 for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.00 for FK Crvena Zvezda. It rates over 2.5 goals at 17%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.