Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the pick at 70% for Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Macva face FK Crvena Zvezda on 31 October 2026 at Gradski Stadion Sabac, Shabac. FK Crvena Zvezda are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 70%. This matchday 14 fixture in Super Liga is listed as Macva - FK Crvena Zvezda. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Macva: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (2 scored and 8 conceded in six matches, 0.33 and 1.33 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.7 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -12.
FK Crvena Zvezda: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 7 conceded in nine matches, 1.78 and 0.78 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 82.2 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +29.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Macva | FK Crvena Zvezda |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -12 | +29 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDDL | WWDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 6 | 15 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 9 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.33 / 1.33 | 1.78 / 0.78 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.67 | 2.22 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 28.7 | 82.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 7% | 70% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Macva 28.7 versus FK Crvena Zvezda 82.2, a gap of 53.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans FK Crvena Zvezda's way at 75%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards FK Crvena Zvezda at 70%, a gap of 47 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Macva or FK Crvena Zvezda?
FK Crvena Zvezda, with an implied win probability of roughly 70%. The full split is 7% Macva, 23% the draw and 70% FK Crvena Zvezda.
When and where is Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda being played?
31 October 2026 at Gradski Stadion Sabac, Shabac, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Macva and FK Crvena Zvezda met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Macva and FK Crvena Zvezda?
Macva have taken 5 points from their last five (WLDDL), FK Crvena Zvezda 10 from theirs (WWDWL). Most recently Macva took a 2-0 win at home to Napredak and FK Crvena Zvezda a 5-1 win away at Jedinstvo Ub.
How many goals are expected in Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.20 for Macva and 1.80 for FK Crvena Zvezda. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.