Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Radnik Surdulica the pick at 42% for Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Radnik Surdulica host OFK Beograd on 7 November 2026 at EFBET Stadion, Surdulica. Radnik Surdulica are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 15 fixture in Super Liga is listed as Radnik Surdulica - OFK Beograd. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Radnik Surdulica: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (6 scored and 5 conceded in six matches, 1.0 and 0.83 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +1.
OFK Beograd: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 10 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 1.67 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.9 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -11.
Side by side
| Statistic | Radnik Surdulica | OFK Beograd |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 11th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWL | LWLDD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 3 | 2 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 0.83 | 1.33 / 1.67 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.6 | 28.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 25% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 0 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Radnik Surdulica none wins, OFK Beograd none wins, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: OFK Beograd 1-1 Radnik Surdulica on 26 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Radnik Surdulica 48.6 versus OFK Beograd 28.9, a gap of 19.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Radnik Surdulica's way at 52%.
The call
The model edges towards Radnik Surdulica at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Radnik Surdulica's way, especially at EFBET Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Radnik Surdulica or OFK Beograd?
Radnik Surdulica, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Radnik Surdulica, 33% the draw and 25% OFK Beograd.
When and where is Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd being played?
7 November 2026 at EFBET Stadion, Surdulica, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Radnik Surdulica and OFK Beograd?
OFK Beograd 1-1 Radnik Surdulica on 26 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Radnik Surdulica and OFK Beograd?
Radnik Surdulica have taken 9 points from their last five (WWLWL), OFK Beograd 5 from theirs (LWLDD). Most recently Radnik Surdulica took a 1-0 win away at Mladost Lucani and OFK Beograd a 0-2 defeat at home to Vojvodina.
How many goals are expected in Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 1.00 for Radnik Surdulica and 0.80 for OFK Beograd. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.