FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes FC Basel 1893 the pick at 69% for FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FC ST. Gallen travel to FC Basel 1893 on 20 September 2026 at St. Jakob-Park, Basel. FC Basel 1893 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 69%. This matchday 9 fixture in Super League is listed as FC Basel 1893 - FC ST. Gallen. Kick-off is 14:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
FC Basel 1893: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 49 conceded in 27 matches, 1.22 and 1.81 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +2.
FC ST. Gallen: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (39 scored and 27 conceded in 21 matches, 1.86 and 1.29 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.8 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of -2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FC Basel 1893 | FC ST. Gallen |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 5th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLDW | LWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 11 | 7 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 27 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.22 / 1.81 | 1.86 / 1.29 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.11 | 1.86 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.8 | 37.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 69% | 5% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 2 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): FC Basel 1893 none wins, FC ST. Gallen two wins, none draws — an edge to FC ST. Gallen.
- Most recent meeting: FC Basel 1893 1-3 FC ST. Gallen on 14 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Basel 1893 48.8 versus FC ST. Gallen 37.8, a gap of 11.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.30, over 2.5 goals at 14% and both teams to score at 36%.
- First goal: Leans FC Basel 1893's way at 75%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards FC Basel 1893 at 69%, a gap of 43 percentage points to the next outcome. FC Basel 1893's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC Basel 1893's way, especially at St. Jakob-Park.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Basel 1893 or FC ST. Gallen?
FC Basel 1893, with an implied win probability of roughly 69%. The full split is 69% FC Basel 1893, 26% the draw and 5% FC ST. Gallen.
When and where is FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen being played?
20 September 2026 at St. Jakob-Park, Basel, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FC Basel 1893 and FC ST. Gallen?
FC Basel 1893 1-3 FC ST. Gallen on 14 May 2026.
What is the recent form of FC Basel 1893 and FC ST. Gallen?
FC Basel 1893 have taken 7 points from their last five (WLLDW), FC ST. Gallen 3 from theirs (LWLLL). Most recently FC Basel 1893 took a 4-2 win away at FC Luzern and FC ST. Gallen a 0-3 defeat at home to FC Sion.
How many goals are expected in FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.30 — 0.80 for FC Basel 1893 and 1.50 for FC ST. Gallen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 14%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 36%, so its call is no.