BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes BSC Young Boys the pick at 46% for BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
BSC Young Boys host FC ST. Gallen on 24 October 2026 at Kybunpark, St.Gallen. BSC Young Boys are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 11 fixture in Super League is listed as BSC Young Boys - FC ST. Gallen. Kick-off is 18:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
BSC Young Boys: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 3.5 and 1.83 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 65.4 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +15.
FC ST. Gallen: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 17 conceded in nine matches, 1.89 and 1.89 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.5 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | BSC Young Boys | FC ST. Gallen |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 4th |
| Goal difference | +15 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWD | WWDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 14 / 5 | 10 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 9 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 3.5 / 1.83 | 1.89 / 1.89 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.0 | 1.78 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 65.4 | 54.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 34% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 2 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): BSC Young Boys none wins, FC ST. Gallen two wins, none draws — an edge to FC ST. Gallen.
- Most recent meeting: BSC Young Boys 1-2 FC ST. Gallen on 26 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: BSC Young Boys 65.4 versus FC ST. Gallen 54.5, a gap of 10.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.20, over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams to score at 68%.
- First goal: Leans BSC Young Boys' way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to BSC Young Boys at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts BSC Young Boys's way, especially at Kybunpark.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: BSC Young Boys or FC ST. Gallen?
BSC Young Boys, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% BSC Young Boys, 20% the draw and 34% FC ST. Gallen.
When and where is BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen being played?
24 October 2026 at Kybunpark, St.Gallen, kick-off 18:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between BSC Young Boys and FC ST. Gallen?
BSC Young Boys 1-2 FC ST. Gallen on 26 April 2026.
What is the recent form of BSC Young Boys and FC ST. Gallen?
BSC Young Boys have taken 13 points from their last five (WWWWD), FC ST. Gallen 10 from theirs (WWDWL). Most recently BSC Young Boys took a 5-0 win away at Taverne and FC ST. Gallen a 2-0 win away at Rapperswil.
How many goals are expected in BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.20 — 3.40 for BSC Young Boys and 1.80 for FC ST. Gallen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 78%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 68%, so its call is yes.