Lausanne vs FC Thun match summary and prediction — Super League
Our model makes FC Thun the pick at 44% for Lausanne vs FC Thun. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FC Thun travel to Lausanne on 1 November 2026 at Stockhorn Arena, Thun. FC Thun are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 12 fixture in Super League is listed as Lausanne - FC Thun. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Lausanne: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (4 scored and 7 conceded in six matches, 0.67 and 1.17 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.5 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -10.
FC Thun: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 22 conceded in ten matches, 1.2 and 2.2 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.2 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -11.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Lausanne | FC Thun |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -10 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLL | LLDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 7 | 6 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.67 / 1.17 | 1.2 / 2.2 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.83 | 0.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 22.5 | 32.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 30% | 44% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Lausanne none wins, FC Thun one win, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: FC Thun 0-0 Lausanne on 02 September 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Lausanne 22.5 versus FC Thun 32.2, a gap of 9.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 66%.
- First goal: Leans FC Thun's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards FC Thun at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Lausanne or FC Thun?
FC Thun, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 30% Lausanne, 26% the draw and 44% FC Thun.
When and where is Lausanne vs FC Thun being played?
1 November 2026 at Stockhorn Arena, Thun, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Lausanne and FC Thun?
FC Thun 0-0 Lausanne on 02 September 2026.
What is the recent form of Lausanne and FC Thun?
Lausanne have taken 3 points from their last five (LWLLL), FC Thun 1 from theirs (LLDLL). Most recently Lausanne took a 0-1 defeat away at FC Sion and FC Thun a 2-3 defeat at home to FC Lugano.
How many goals are expected in Lausanne vs FC Thun?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 0.60 for Lausanne and 0.80 for FC Thun. It rates over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 66%, so its call is yes.