Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Hapoel Katamon and Hapoel Tel Aviv on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Hapoel Katamon host Hapoel Tel Aviv on 24 October 2026 at Taddi Malcha, Jerusalem. Hapoel Tel Aviv are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 8 fixture in Ligat Ha'al is listed as Hapoel Katamon - Hapoel Tel Aviv. Kick-off is 15:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Hapoel Katamon: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded twelve, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.3 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -4.
Hapoel Tel Aviv: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded five, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.5 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +10.
Side by side
| Statistic | Hapoel Katamon | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -4 | +10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWDW | WWWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 12 | 12 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.3 | 67.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 39% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Hapoel Katamon 47.3 versus Hapoel Tel Aviv 67.5, a gap of 20.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.53, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Hapoel Tel Aviv's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Hapoel Tel Aviv is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. Hapoel Tel Aviv's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hapoel Katamon or Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Tel Aviv, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 36% Hapoel Katamon, 25% the draw and 39% Hapoel Tel Aviv.
When and where is Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv being played?
24 October 2026 at Taddi Malcha, Jerusalem, kick-off 15:45 UTC.
Have Hapoel Katamon and Hapoel Tel Aviv met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Hapoel Katamon and Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Katamon have taken 7 points from their last five (LLWDW), Hapoel Tel Aviv 12 from theirs (WWWLW). Most recently Hapoel Katamon took a 1-2 defeat away at Hapoel Beer Sheva and Hapoel Tel Aviv a 1-0 win at home to Ironi Tiberias.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.53 — 2.33 for Hapoel Katamon and 2.20 for Hapoel Tel Aviv. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.