Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin match summary and prediction — Ligat Ha'al
Our model makes Ironi Kiryat Shmona the pick at 53% for Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Bnei Sakhnin travel to Ironi Kiryat Shmona on 24 October 2026 at Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona. Ironi Kiryat Shmona are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This matchday 8 fixture in Ligat Ha'al is listed as Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Bnei Sakhnin. Kick-off is 15:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Ironi Kiryat Shmona: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 15 conceded in nine matches, 1.78 and 1.67 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.8 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -9.
Bnei Sakhnin: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (3 scored and 19 conceded in nine matches, 0.33 and 2.11 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.1 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Bnei Sakhnin |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -9 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLL | WDWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 13 | 4 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 9 | 9 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.78 / 1.67 | 0.33 / 2.11 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.44 | 0.56 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 22.8 | 48.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 24% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 2 | 0 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Ironi Kiryat Shmona two wins, Bnei Sakhnin none wins, none draws — an edge to Ironi Kiryat Shmona.
- Most recent meeting: Bnei Sakhnin 0-4 Ironi Kiryat Shmona on 13 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 22.8 versus Bnei Sakhnin 48.1, a gap of 25.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Ironi Kiryat Shmona's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Ironi Kiryat Shmona at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Bnei Sakhnin's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Ironi Kiryat Shmona's way, especially at Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ironi Kiryat Shmona or Bnei Sakhnin?
Ironi Kiryat Shmona, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Ironi Kiryat Shmona, 23% the draw and 24% Bnei Sakhnin.
When and where is Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin being played?
24 October 2026 at Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona, kick-off 15:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Bnei Sakhnin?
Bnei Sakhnin 0-4 Ironi Kiryat Shmona on 13 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Bnei Sakhnin?
Ironi Kiryat Shmona have taken 0 points from their last five (LLLLL), Bnei Sakhnin 7 from theirs (WDWLL). Most recently Ironi Kiryat Shmona took a 0-1 defeat away at Maccabi Netanya and Bnei Sakhnin a 2-0 win at home to Hapoel Petah Tikva.
How many goals are expected in Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 2.00 for Ironi Kiryat Shmona and 0.40 for Bnei Sakhnin. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.