Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the pick at 60% for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Hapoel Haifa travel to Maccabi Tel Aviv on 24 October 2026 at Bloomfield Stadium, Tel Aviv. Maccabi Tel Aviv are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 8 fixture in Ligat Ha'al is listed as Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa. Kick-off is 16:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Maccabi Tel Aviv: they come in on two successive draws, following three wins before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (37 scored and 41 conceded in 26 matches, 1.42 and 1.58 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.7 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +12.
Hapoel Haifa: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 18 conceded in eleven matches, 1.0 and 1.64 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.3 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Haifa |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 7th |
| Goal difference | +12 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWWW | LWLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 3 | 7 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 26 | 11 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.42 / 1.58 | 1.0 / 1.64 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.31 | 0.91 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 64.7 | 48.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 20% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Maccabi Tel Aviv 64.7 versus Hapoel Haifa 48.3, a gap of 16.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Maccabi Tel Aviv's way at 63%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Maccabi Tel Aviv at 60%, a gap of 40 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Maccabi Tel Aviv's way, especially at Bloomfield Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Maccabi Tel Aviv or Hapoel Haifa?
Maccabi Tel Aviv, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Maccabi Tel Aviv, 20% the draw and 20% Hapoel Haifa.
When and where is Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa being played?
24 October 2026 at Bloomfield Stadium, Tel Aviv, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Hapoel Haifa?
Hapoel Haifa 1-4 Maccabi Tel Aviv on 05 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Maccabi Tel Aviv and Hapoel Haifa?
Maccabi Tel Aviv have taken 11 points from their last five (DDWWW), Hapoel Haifa 7 from theirs (LWLWD). Most recently Maccabi Tel Aviv took a 0-0 draw away at Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Haifa a 0-2 defeat at home to Hapoel Ramat Gan.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 2.20 for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 2.00 for Hapoel Haifa. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.