Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa match summary and prediction — Ligat Ha'al
Our model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the pick at 53% for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Hapoel Tel Aviv host Maccabi Haifa on 2 November 2026 at Bloomfield Stadium, Tel Aviv. Hapoel Tel Aviv are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This matchday 9 fixture in Ligat Ha'al is listed as Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Haifa. Kick-off is 18:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Hapoel Tel Aviv: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 17 conceded in 14 matches, 1.14 and 1.21 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 68.2 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +13.
Maccabi Haifa: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 26 conceded in 15 matches, 1.67 and 1.73 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 66.5 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Maccabi Haifa |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 4th |
| Goal difference | +13 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWW | LWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 15 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 3 | 15 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 14 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.14 / 1.21 | 1.67 / 1.73 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 68.2 | 66.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 25% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 2 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Hapoel Tel Aviv two wins, Maccabi Haifa one win, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Maccabi Haifa 4-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv on 19 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.67 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the three — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Hapoel Tel Aviv 68.2 versus Maccabi Haifa 66.5, a gap of 1.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.80, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Hapoel Tel Aviv's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Hapoel Tel Aviv at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Hapoel Tel Aviv's way, especially at Bloomfield Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hapoel Tel Aviv or Maccabi Haifa?
Hapoel Tel Aviv, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Hapoel Tel Aviv, 23% the draw and 25% Maccabi Haifa.
When and where is Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa being played?
2 November 2026 at Bloomfield Stadium, Tel Aviv, kick-off 18:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Maccabi Haifa?
Maccabi Haifa 4-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv on 19 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Hapoel Tel Aviv and Maccabi Haifa?
Hapoel Tel Aviv have taken 15 points from their last five (WWWWW), Maccabi Haifa 12 from theirs (LWWWW). Most recently Hapoel Tel Aviv took a 3-2 win away at Maccabi Tel Aviv and Maccabi Haifa a 2-5 defeat at home to Hapoel Beer Sheva.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.80 — 2.40 for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 3.40 for Maccabi Haifa. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.