Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva match summary and prediction — Ligat Ha'al
Our model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the pick at 47% for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Maccabi Petah Tikva face Hapoel Beer Sheva on 1 November 2026 at HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva. Hapoel Beer Sheva are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 9 fixture in Ligat Ha'al is listed as Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Maccabi Petah Tikva: they come in on the back of a win, following four defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded twelve, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.0 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -4.
Hapoel Beer Sheva: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 76.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -4 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLLL | WLWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 12 | 10 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.0 | 76.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 47% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Maccabi Petah Tikva 34.0 versus Hapoel Beer Sheva 76.8, a gap of 42.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.33, over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Hapoel Beer Sheva's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Hapoel Beer Sheva at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Hapoel Beer Sheva's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Maccabi Petah Tikva or Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Hapoel Beer Sheva, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 34% Maccabi Petah Tikva, 19% the draw and 47% Hapoel Beer Sheva.
When and where is Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva being played?
1 November 2026 at HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Beer Sheva met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Maccabi Petah Tikva have taken 3 points from their last five (WLLLL), Hapoel Beer Sheva 9 from theirs (WLWLW). Most recently Maccabi Petah Tikva took a 2-1 win away at Hapoel Ramat Gan and Hapoel Beer Sheva a 5-2 win away at Maccabi Haifa.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.33 — 1.33 for Maccabi Petah Tikva and 2.00 for Hapoel Beer Sheva. It rates over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.