Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon match summary and prediction — Ligat Ha'al
Our model makes Maccabi Netanya the pick at 60% for Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Hapoel Katamon travel to Maccabi Netanya on 31 October 2026 at Miriam Stadium, Netanya. Maccabi Netanya are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 9 fixture in Ligat Ha'al is listed as Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Katamon. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Maccabi Netanya: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored four and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.7 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +4.
Hapoel Katamon: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored eight and conceded 13, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.6 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Maccabi Netanya | Hapoel Katamon |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 10th |
| Goal difference | +4 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDLL | LLLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 6 | 8 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.7 | 36.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 20% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Maccabi Netanya 42.7 versus Hapoel Katamon 36.6, a gap of 6.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.35, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Maccabi Netanya's way at 62%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Maccabi Netanya at 60%, a gap of 41 percentage points to the next outcome. Maccabi Netanya's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Maccabi Netanya's way, especially at Miriam Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Maccabi Netanya or Hapoel Katamon?
Maccabi Netanya, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Maccabi Netanya, 20% the draw and 20% Hapoel Katamon.
When and where is Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon being played?
31 October 2026 at Miriam Stadium, Netanya, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Maccabi Netanya and Hapoel Katamon met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Maccabi Netanya and Hapoel Katamon?
Maccabi Netanya have taken 5 points from their last five (DWDLL), Hapoel Katamon 4 from theirs (LLLWD). Most recently Maccabi Netanya took a 1-1 draw away at Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Katamon a 0-3 defeat at home to Hapoel Tel Aviv.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.35 — 0.60 for Maccabi Netanya and 1.75 for Hapoel Katamon. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.