Hapoel Katamon vs Bnei Sakhnin — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Hapoel Katamon the pick at 43% for Hapoel Katamon vs Bnei Sakhnin. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Hapoel Katamon face Bnei Sakhnin on 7 November 2026 at Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem. Hapoel Katamon are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 10 fixture in Ligat Ha'al is listed as Hapoel Katamon - Bnei Sakhnin. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Hapoel Katamon: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored seven and conceded twelve, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.6 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -7.
Bnei Sakhnin: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored five and conceded one, with four clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.7 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Hapoel Katamon | Bnei Sakhnin |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -7 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLLW | DWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 12 | 5 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.6 | 61.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 30% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Hapoel Katamon 36.6 versus Bnei Sakhnin 61.7, a gap of 25.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Hapoel Katamon's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Hapoel Katamon at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Bnei Sakhnin's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Hapoel Katamon's way, especially at Teddy Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hapoel Katamon or Bnei Sakhnin?
Hapoel Katamon, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Hapoel Katamon, 27% the draw and 30% Bnei Sakhnin.
When and where is Hapoel Katamon vs Bnei Sakhnin being played?
7 November 2026 at Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Hapoel Katamon and Bnei Sakhnin met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Hapoel Katamon and Bnei Sakhnin?
Hapoel Katamon have taken 4 points from their last five (DLLLW), Bnei Sakhnin 11 from theirs (DWWDW). Most recently Hapoel Katamon took a 1-1 draw away at Maccabi Netanya and Bnei Sakhnin a 1-1 draw at home to Ironi Tiberias.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Katamon vs Bnei Sakhnin?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.60 for Hapoel Katamon and 0.60 for Bnei Sakhnin. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.