Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv match summary and prediction — Ligat Ha'al
Our model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the pick at 48% for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Hapoel Tel Aviv travel to Hapoel Beer Sheva on 7 November 2026 at Toto Turner Stadium. Hapoel Beer Sheva are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 10 fixture in Ligat Ha'al is listed as Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Tel Aviv. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Hapoel Beer Sheva: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 15 conceded in eight matches, 2.38 and 1.88 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 77.5 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +10.
Hapoel Tel Aviv: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 7 conceded in seven matches, 2.29 and 1.0 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 78.5 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +14.
Side by side
| Statistic | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +10 | +14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWL | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 11 | 12 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.38 / 1.88 | 2.29 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.0 | 2.14 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 77.5 | 78.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 27% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 2 | 0 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Hapoel Beer Sheva two wins, Hapoel Tel Aviv none wins, none draws — an edge to Hapoel Beer Sheva.
- Most recent meeting: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva on 15 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Hapoel Beer Sheva 77.5 versus Hapoel Tel Aviv 78.5, a gap of 1.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.40, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Hapoel Beer Sheva's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Hapoel Beer Sheva at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Hapoel Beer Sheva's way, especially at Toto Turner Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hapoel Beer Sheva or Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Beer Sheva, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Hapoel Beer Sheva, 25% the draw and 27% Hapoel Tel Aviv.
When and where is Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv being played?
7 November 2026 at Toto Turner Stadium, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Hapoel Beer Sheva and Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva on 15 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Hapoel Beer Sheva and Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Beer Sheva have taken 9 points from their last five (WWLWL), Hapoel Tel Aviv 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Hapoel Beer Sheva took a 5-2 win away at Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Tel Aviv a 2-1 win at home to Maccabi Haifa.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.40 — 2.80 for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 2.60 for Hapoel Tel Aviv. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.