Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Beitar Jerusalem the pick at 62% for Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Beitar Jerusalem travel to Ironi Tiberias on 7 November 2026 at Green Stadium, Nof HaGalil. Beitar Jerusalem are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 62%. This matchday 10 fixture in Ligat Ha'al is listed as Ironi Tiberias - Beitar Jerusalem. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Ironi Tiberias: they come in on two successive draws, following three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored four and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.7 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -4.
Beitar Jerusalem: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored eight and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.4 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Ironi Tiberias | Beitar Jerusalem |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLLL | DWDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 8 | 8 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 30.7 | 62.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 19% | 62% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Ironi Tiberias 30.7 versus Beitar Jerusalem 62.4, a gap of 31.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 69%.
- First goal: Leans Beitar Jerusalem's way at 62%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Beitar Jerusalem at 62%, a gap of 42 percentage points to the next outcome. Beitar Jerusalem's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ironi Tiberias or Beitar Jerusalem?
Beitar Jerusalem, with an implied win probability of roughly 62%. The full split is 19% Ironi Tiberias, 20% the draw and 62% Beitar Jerusalem.
When and where is Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem being played?
7 November 2026 at Green Stadium, Nof HaGalil, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Ironi Tiberias and Beitar Jerusalem met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Ironi Tiberias and Beitar Jerusalem?
Ironi Tiberias have taken 2 points from their last five (DDLLL), Beitar Jerusalem 11 from theirs (DWDWW). Most recently Ironi Tiberias took a 1-1 draw away at Bnei Sakhnin and Beitar Jerusalem a 1-1 draw at home to Ironi Kiryat Shmona.
How many goals are expected in Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.50 for Ironi Tiberias and 1.20 for Beitar Jerusalem. It rates over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 69%, so its call is yes.