Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Vissel Kobe the pick at 48% for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Vissel Kobe face Machida Zelvia on 24 October 2026 at Noevir Stadium Kobe, Kobe. Vissel Kobe are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 12 fixture in J1 League is listed as Vissel Kobe - Machida Zelvia. Kick-off is 06:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Vissel Kobe: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 23 conceded in 20 matches, 1.6 and 1.15 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +7.
Machida Zelvia: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 22 conceded in 20 matches, 1.35 and 1.1 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 63.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +20.
Side by side
| Statistic | Vissel Kobe | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 1st |
| Goal difference | +7 | +20 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWLW | WWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 6 | 10 / 0 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 5 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 20 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.6 / 1.15 | 1.35 / 1.1 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.8 | 63.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 27% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Vissel Kobe 56.8 versus Machida Zelvia 63.3, a gap of 6.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.00, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Vissel Kobe's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Vissel Kobe at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Vissel Kobe's way, especially at Noevir Stadium Kobe.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Vissel Kobe or Machida Zelvia?
Vissel Kobe, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Vissel Kobe, 25% the draw and 27% Machida Zelvia.
When and where is Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia being played?
24 October 2026 at Noevir Stadium Kobe, Kobe, kick-off 06:00 UTC.
Have Vissel Kobe and Machida Zelvia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Vissel Kobe and Machida Zelvia?
Vissel Kobe have taken 9 points from their last five (LWWLW), Machida Zelvia 13 from theirs (WWWWD). Most recently Vissel Kobe took a 1-2 defeat away at Kawasaki Frontale and Machida Zelvia a 5-0 win away at Shimizu S-pulse.
How many goals are expected in Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.00 — 2.20 for Vissel Kobe and 2.80 for Machida Zelvia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.