Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes FC Tokyo the pick at 46% for Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Fagiano Okayama face FC Tokyo on 31 October 2026 at JFE Harenokuni Stadium, Okayama. FC Tokyo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 13 fixture in J1 League is listed as Fagiano Okayama - FC Tokyo. Kick-off is 05:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Fagiano Okayama: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2027-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 1.5 and 1.83 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.5 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -2.
FC Tokyo: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2027-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 6 conceded in six matches, 2.67 and 1.0 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 73.1 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +19.
Side by side
| Statistic | Fagiano Okayama | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -2 | +19 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLDL | WDWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 10 | 13 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 4 |
| Matches in our dataset (2027 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2027) | 1.5 / 1.83 | 2.67 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2027) | 1.5 | 2.17 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.5 | 73.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 46% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Fagiano Okayama 34.5 versus FC Tokyo 73.1, a gap of 38.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.60, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans FC Tokyo's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to FC Tokyo at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. FC Tokyo's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Fagiano Okayama or FC Tokyo?
FC Tokyo, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 29% Fagiano Okayama, 25% the draw and 46% FC Tokyo.
When and where is Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo being played?
31 October 2026 at JFE Harenokuni Stadium, Okayama, kick-off 05:00 UTC.
Have Fagiano Okayama and FC Tokyo met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Fagiano Okayama and FC Tokyo?
Fagiano Okayama have taken 4 points from their last five (LWLDL), FC Tokyo 10 from theirs (WDWLW). Most recently Fagiano Okayama took a 1-2 defeat away at Kawasaki Frontale and FC Tokyo a 6-0 win at home to Mito Hollyhock.
How many goals are expected in Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.60 — 1.60 for Fagiano Okayama and 3.00 for FC Tokyo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.