Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus match summary and prediction — J1 League
Our model makes Vissel Kobe the pick at 63% for Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Vissel Kobe face Nagoya Grampus on 31 October 2026 at Noevir Stadium Kobe, Kobe. Vissel Kobe are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 63%. This matchday 13 fixture in J1 League is listed as Vissel Kobe - Nagoya Grampus. Kick-off is 06:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Vissel Kobe: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2027-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 2 conceded in seven matches, 1.71 and 0.29 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.1 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +7.
Nagoya Grampus: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2027-season record in our dataset (5 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 0.83 and 1.83 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.7 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Vissel Kobe | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 11th |
| Goal difference | +7 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLWW | LDDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 2 | 9 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2027 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2027) | 1.71 / 0.29 | 0.83 / 1.83 |
| Points per game (2027) | 2.71 | 0.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 50.1 | 50.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 63% | 15% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 2 | 0 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Vissel Kobe two wins, Nagoya Grampus none wins, none draws — an edge to Vissel Kobe.
- Most recent meeting: Vissel Kobe 3-2 Nagoya Grampus on 11 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 4.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Vissel Kobe's way at 66%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Vissel Kobe at 63%, a gap of 41 percentage points to the next outcome. Vissel Kobe's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Vissel Kobe's way, especially at Noevir Stadium Kobe.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Vissel Kobe or Nagoya Grampus?
Vissel Kobe, with an implied win probability of roughly 63%. The full split is 63% Vissel Kobe, 22% the draw and 15% Nagoya Grampus.
When and where is Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus being played?
31 October 2026 at Noevir Stadium Kobe, Kobe, kick-off 06:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Vissel Kobe and Nagoya Grampus?
Vissel Kobe 3-2 Nagoya Grampus on 11 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Vissel Kobe and Nagoya Grampus?
Vissel Kobe have taken 10 points from their last five (WDLWW), Nagoya Grampus 6 from theirs (LDDWD). Most recently Vissel Kobe took a 1-0 win away at Daejeon Citizen and Nagoya Grampus a 1-2 defeat at home to Urawa.
How many goals are expected in Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.80 for Vissel Kobe and 1.00 for Nagoya Grampus. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.