Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the pick at 41% for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Yokohama F. Marinos face Kawasaki Frontale on 1 November 2026 at Nissan Stadium, Yokohama. Yokohama F. Marinos are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 13 fixture in J1 League is listed as Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale. Kick-off is 04:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Yokohama F. Marinos: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2027-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 10 conceded in seven matches, 1.43 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +4.
Kawasaki Frontale: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2027-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 7 conceded in six matches, 2.0 and 1.17 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.1 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Yokohama F. Marinos | Kawasaki Frontale |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 6th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDDW | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 7 | 14 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2027 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2027) | 1.43 / 1.43 | 2.0 / 1.17 |
| Points per game (2027) | 1.0 | 2.17 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.3 | 60.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 33% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 1 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Yokohama F. Marinos one win, Kawasaki Frontale one win, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale on 18 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 4.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Yokohama F. Marinos 49.3 versus Kawasaki Frontale 60.1, a gap of 10.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Yokohama F. Marinos' way at 51%.
The call
The model edges towards Yokohama F. Marinos at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Yokohama F. Marinos's way, especially at Nissan Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Yokohama F. Marinos or Kawasaki Frontale?
Yokohama F. Marinos, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% Yokohama F. Marinos, 27% the draw and 33% Kawasaki Frontale.
When and where is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale being played?
1 November 2026 at Nissan Stadium, Yokohama, kick-off 04:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Yokohama F. Marinos and Kawasaki Frontale?
Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale on 18 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Yokohama F. Marinos and Kawasaki Frontale?
Yokohama F. Marinos have taken 9 points from their last five (WDDDW), Kawasaki Frontale 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Yokohama F. Marinos took a 4-3 win at home to Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kawasaki Frontale a 2-0 win away at Sagan Tosu.
How many goals are expected in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.00 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 2.20 for Kawasaki Frontale. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.