Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Kashiwa Reysol the pick at 45% for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Kashiwa Reysol face Kawasaki Frontale on 7 November 2026 at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa. Kashiwa Reysol are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 14 fixture in J1 League is listed as Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale. Kick-off is 07:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Kashiwa Reysol: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2027-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 12 conceded in seven matches, 1.86 and 1.71 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +10.
Kawasaki Frontale: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2027-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 11 conceded in seven matches, 2.0 and 1.57 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.2 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +5.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Kashiwa Reysol | Kawasaki Frontale |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 7th |
| Goal difference | +10 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWDL | LWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 12 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2027 season) | 7 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2027) | 1.86 / 1.71 | 2.0 / 1.57 |
| Points per game (2027) | 1.71 | 1.86 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 60.8 | 56.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 33% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 1 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Kashiwa Reysol one win, Kawasaki Frontale one win, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale on 10 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 4.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Kashiwa Reysol 60.8 versus Kawasaki Frontale 56.2, a gap of 4.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.60, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Kashiwa Reysol's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Kashiwa Reysol at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Kashiwa Reysol's way, especially at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kashiwa Reysol or Kawasaki Frontale?
Kashiwa Reysol, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Kashiwa Reysol, 22% the draw and 33% Kawasaki Frontale.
When and where is Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale being played?
7 November 2026 at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa, kick-off 07:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Kashiwa Reysol and Kawasaki Frontale?
Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale on 10 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Kashiwa Reysol and Kawasaki Frontale?
Kashiwa Reysol have taken 8 points from their last five (WDWDL), Kawasaki Frontale 12 from theirs (LWWWW). Most recently Kashiwa Reysol took a 4-0 win at home to Urawa and Kawasaki Frontale a 2-4 defeat away at Yokohama F. Marinos.
How many goals are expected in Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.60 — 2.20 for Kashiwa Reysol and 2.40 for Kawasaki Frontale. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.