Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the pick at 50% for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Fagiano Okayama travel to Yokohama F. Marinos on 7 November 2026 at Nissan Stadium, Yokohama. Yokohama F. Marinos are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 14 fixture in J1 League is listed as Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama. Kick-off is 05:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Yokohama F. Marinos: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2027-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 12 conceded in eight matches, 1.75 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.8 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +6.
Fagiano Okayama: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2027-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 15 conceded in seven matches, 1.29 and 2.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.5 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Yokohama F. Marinos | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 10th |
| Goal difference | +6 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDDD | LLWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 8 | 6 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2027 season) | 8 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2027) | 1.75 / 1.5 | 1.29 / 2.14 |
| Points per game (2027) | 1.25 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.8 | 33.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 26% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Yokohama F. Marinos 49.8 versus Fagiano Okayama 33.5, a gap of 16.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Yokohama F. Marinos' way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Yokohama F. Marinos at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Yokohama F. Marinos' form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Yokohama F. Marinos's way, especially at Nissan Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Yokohama F. Marinos or Fagiano Okayama?
Yokohama F. Marinos, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% Yokohama F. Marinos, 24% the draw and 26% Fagiano Okayama.
When and where is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama being played?
7 November 2026 at Nissan Stadium, Yokohama, kick-off 05:00 UTC.
Have Yokohama F. Marinos and Fagiano Okayama met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Yokohama F. Marinos and Fagiano Okayama?
Yokohama F. Marinos have taken 9 points from their last five (WWDDD), Fagiano Okayama 4 from theirs (LLWLD). Most recently Yokohama F. Marinos took a 4-2 win at home to Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama a 0-4 defeat at home to FC Tokyo.
How many goals are expected in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.60 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.20 for Fagiano Okayama. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.