Rangers vs ST Johnstone — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Rangers the pick at 71% for Rangers vs ST Johnstone. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
ST Johnstone travel to Rangers on 24 October 2026 at Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow. Rangers are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 71%. This matchday 10 fixture in Premiership is listed as Rangers - ST Johnstone. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Rangers: they come in on the back of a draw, following four wins before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 6 conceded in seven matches, 1.43 and 0.86 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 69.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +6.
ST Johnstone: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 8 conceded in six matches, 1.17 and 1.33 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.7 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | Rangers | ST Johnstone |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 5th |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWWW | DWDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 3 | 5 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.43 / 0.86 | 1.17 / 1.33 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.86 | 1.17 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 69.8 | 51.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 71% | 12% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Rangers 69.8 versus ST Johnstone 51.7, a gap of 18.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Rangers' way at 72%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Rangers at 71%, a gap of 53 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Rangers's way, especially at Ibrox Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Rangers or ST Johnstone?
Rangers, with an implied win probability of roughly 71%. The full split is 71% Rangers, 17% the draw and 12% ST Johnstone.
When and where is Rangers vs ST Johnstone being played?
24 October 2026 at Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Rangers and ST Johnstone met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Rangers and ST Johnstone?
Rangers have taken 13 points from their last five (DWWWW), ST Johnstone 8 from theirs (DWDLW). Most recently Rangers took a 2-2 draw away at Dundee and ST Johnstone a 1-1 draw at home to Dundee Utd.
How many goals are expected in Rangers vs ST Johnstone?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.60 for Rangers and 1.40 for ST Johnstone. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.