Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian match summary and prediction — Premiership
There is barely anything between Dundee Utd and Heart Of Midlothian on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Dundee Utd host Heart Of Midlothian on 31 October 2026 at CalForth Construction Arena, Dundee. Heart Of Midlothian are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 12 fixture in Premiership is listed as Dundee Utd - Heart Of Midlothian. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Dundee Utd: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 13 conceded in six matches, 1.17 and 2.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.7 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of 0.
Heart Of Midlothian: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 30 conceded in 13 matches, 1.38 and 2.31 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.4 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Dundee Utd | Heart Of Midlothian |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDWW | DWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 5 | 6 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 13 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.17 / 2.17 | 1.38 / 2.31 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.0 | 1.08 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 61.7 | 53.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 40% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 2 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Dundee Utd none wins, Heart Of Midlothian two wins, none draws — an edge to Heart Of Midlothian.
- Most recent meeting: Heart Of Midlothian 4-0 Dundee Utd on 09 August 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Dundee Utd 61.7 versus Heart Of Midlothian 53.4, a gap of 8.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Dundee Utd's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Heart Of Midlothian is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Dundee Utd or Heart Of Midlothian?
Heart Of Midlothian, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 38% Dundee Utd, 22% the draw and 40% Heart Of Midlothian.
When and where is Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian being played?
31 October 2026 at CalForth Construction Arena, Dundee, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Dundee Utd and Heart Of Midlothian?
Heart Of Midlothian 4-0 Dundee Utd on 09 August 2026.
What is the recent form of Dundee Utd and Heart Of Midlothian?
Dundee Utd have taken 11 points from their last five (DWDWW), Heart Of Midlothian 5 from theirs (DWLLD). Most recently Dundee Utd took a 2-2 draw away at Celtic and Heart Of Midlothian a 2-2 draw at home to Rangers.
How many goals are expected in Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.20 for Dundee Utd and 1.20 for Heart Of Midlothian. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.