Aberdeen vs Hibernian: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Aberdeen and Hibernian on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Aberdeen host Hibernian on 7 November 2026 at Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen. Hibernian are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This matchday 13 fixture in Premiership is listed as Aberdeen - Hibernian. Kick-off is 17:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Aberdeen: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 11 conceded in eight matches, 1.12 and 1.38 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.8 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -2.
Hibernian: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 13 conceded in ten matches, 1.2 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.2 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Aberdeen | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 12th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLWL | WDLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 7 | 5 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.12 / 1.38 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.8 | 30.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 37% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 1 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Aberdeen one win, Hibernian one win, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Aberdeen 2-0 Hibernian on 11 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Aberdeen 37.8 versus Hibernian 30.2, a gap of 7.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Hibernian's way at 47%.
The call
The model does not commit. Hibernian is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Aberdeen or Hibernian?
Hibernian, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 34% Aberdeen, 29% the draw and 37% Hibernian.
When and where is Aberdeen vs Hibernian being played?
7 November 2026 at Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Aberdeen and Hibernian?
Aberdeen 2-0 Hibernian on 11 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Aberdeen and Hibernian?
Aberdeen have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLWL), Hibernian 4 from theirs (WDLLL). Most recently Aberdeen took a 0-1 defeat away at Rangers and Hibernian a 2-1 win away at Heart Of Midlothian.
How many goals are expected in Aberdeen vs Hibernian?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.40 for Aberdeen and 1.20 for Hibernian. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.