Dundee Utd vs Motherwell: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Dundee Utd and Motherwell on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Motherwell travel to Dundee Utd on 7 November 2026 at Tannadice Park, Dundee. Motherwell are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 13 fixture in Premiership is listed as Dundee Utd - Motherwell. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Dundee Utd: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, two draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 13 conceded in six matches, 1.17 and 2.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.7 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of 0.
Motherwell: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 11 conceded in ten matches, 1.1 and 1.1 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Dundee Utd | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 9th |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDW | WDLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 5 | 5 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.17 / 2.17 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 61.7 | 36.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 40% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 2 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Dundee Utd none wins, Motherwell two wins, none draws — an edge to Motherwell.
- Most recent meeting: Motherwell 3-0 Dundee Utd on 02 September 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Dundee Utd 61.7 versus Motherwell 36.8, a gap of 24.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Dundee Utd's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Motherwell is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. Dundee Utd's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Dundee Utd or Motherwell?
Motherwell, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 36% Dundee Utd, 24% the draw and 40% Motherwell.
When and where is Dundee Utd vs Motherwell being played?
7 November 2026 at Tannadice Park, Dundee, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Dundee Utd and Motherwell?
Motherwell 3-0 Dundee Utd on 02 September 2026.
What is the recent form of Dundee Utd and Motherwell?
Dundee Utd have taken 8 points from their last four (DWDW), Motherwell 4 from theirs (WDLLL). Most recently Dundee Utd took a 2-2 draw away at Celtic and Motherwell a 1-0 win at home to ST Mirren.
How many goals are expected in Dundee Utd vs Motherwell?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 1.20 for Dundee Utd and 0.60 for Motherwell. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.