ST Johnstone vs Dundee — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes ST Johnstone the pick at 40% for ST Johnstone vs Dundee. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
ST Johnstone host Dundee on 7 November 2026 at McDiarmid Park, Perth. ST Johnstone are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 13 fixture in Premiership is listed as ST Johnstone - Dundee. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
ST Johnstone: they come in on two successive draws, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 16 conceded in nine matches, 1.22 and 1.78 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.0 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -4.
Dundee: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 8 conceded in seven matches, 1.29 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.3 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | ST Johnstone | Dundee |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLDW | WLDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 9 | 10 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 9 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.22 / 1.78 | 1.29 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.0 | 1.14 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.0 | 59.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 35% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: ST Johnstone 44.0 versus Dundee 59.3, a gap of 15.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans ST Johnstone's way at 51%.
The call
The model edges towards ST Johnstone at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Dundee's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts ST Johnstone's way, especially at McDiarmid Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: ST Johnstone or Dundee?
ST Johnstone, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% ST Johnstone, 25% the draw and 35% Dundee.
When and where is ST Johnstone vs Dundee being played?
7 November 2026 at McDiarmid Park, Perth, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between ST Johnstone and Dundee?
Dundee 1-1 ST Johnstone on 02 September 2026.
What is the recent form of ST Johnstone and Dundee?
ST Johnstone have taken 6 points from their last five (DDLDW), Dundee 10 from theirs (WLDWW). Most recently ST Johnstone took a 2-2 draw away at Kilmarnock and Dundee a 3-1 win at home to Kilmarnock.
How many goals are expected in ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.20 for ST Johnstone and 1.60 for Dundee. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.