ST Mirren vs Rangers match summary and prediction — Premiership
Our model makes Rangers the pick at 58% for ST Mirren vs Rangers. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
ST Mirren face Rangers on 7 November 2026 at The SMISA Stadium, Paisley. Rangers are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This matchday 13 fixture in Premiership is listed as ST Mirren - Rangers. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
ST Mirren: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 7 conceded in nine matches, 0.89 and 0.78 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.3 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -8.
Rangers: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 8 conceded in nine matches, 1.78 and 0.89 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.2 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +10.
Side by side
| Statistic | ST Mirren | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -8 | +10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWLL | WDWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 11 | 12 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 9 | 9 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.89 / 0.78 | 1.78 / 0.89 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.44 | 1.89 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.3 | 64.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 19% | 58% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 0 | 3 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): ST Mirren none wins, Rangers three wins, none draws — an edge to Rangers.
- Most recent meeting: Rangers 1-0 ST Mirren on 09 September 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.67 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the three — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: ST Mirren 36.3 versus Rangers 64.2, a gap of 27.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Rangers' way at 59%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Rangers at 58%, a gap of 34 percentage points to the next outcome. Rangers' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: ST Mirren or Rangers?
Rangers, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 19% ST Mirren, 24% the draw and 58% Rangers.
When and where is ST Mirren vs Rangers being played?
7 November 2026 at The SMISA Stadium, Paisley, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between ST Mirren and Rangers?
Rangers 1-0 ST Mirren on 09 September 2026.
What is the recent form of ST Mirren and Rangers?
ST Mirren have taken 4 points from their last five (LDWLL), Rangers 11 from theirs (WDWDW). Most recently ST Mirren took a 0-1 defeat away at Motherwell and Rangers a 1-0 win at home to Aberdeen.
How many goals are expected in ST Mirren vs Rangers?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 0.80 for ST Mirren and 2.20 for Rangers. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.