Fulham vs Manchester United match summary and prediction — Premier League
Manchester United travel to Fulham needing a result to steady a season that has drifted — 13th and still looking for rhythm. Form, comparison data and the model's read, below.
The fixture at a glance
Fulham host Manchester United on 20 September 2026 at Craven Cottage, London. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 49%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 5 fixture in Premier League is listed as Fulham - Manchester United. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Fulham: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 49 conceded in 35 matches, 1.17 and 1.4 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.6 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -3.
Manchester United: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (58 scored and 42 conceded in 32 matches, 1.81 and 1.31 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.3 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of 0. For a club of Manchester United's standing, that is a season off track rather than a slow start.
Side by side
| Statistic | Fulham | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLLW | LWDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 6 | 11 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 35 | 32 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.17 / 1.4 | 1.81 / 1.31 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.2 | 1.88 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 27.6 | 38.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 28% | 23% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 8) | 1 | 6 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 8): Fulham one win, Manchester United six wins, one draw — an edge to Manchester United.
- Most recent meeting: Manchester United 3-2 Fulham on 01 February 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.38 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in five of the eight — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Fulham 27.6 versus Manchester United 38.3, a gap of 10.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Big club, bad season: Manchester United are 13th with a goal difference of 0 and no settled run of results — well short of where a club of their standing expects to be.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 44%.
- First goal: Leans Fulham's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to a draw at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Fulham's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Fulham or Manchester United?
Neither side. Our model splits it 28% Fulham, 49% the draw and 23% Manchester United, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Fulham vs Manchester United being played?
20 September 2026 at Craven Cottage, London, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Fulham and Manchester United?
Manchester United 3-2 Fulham on 01 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Fulham and Manchester United?
Fulham have taken 7 points from their last five (WDLLW), Manchester United 7 from theirs (LWDWL). Most recently Fulham took a 3-2 win away at West Ham and Manchester United a 0-1 defeat at home to Manchester City.
How many goals are expected in Fulham vs Manchester United?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.20 for Fulham and 1.40 for Manchester United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 44%, so its call is no.